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    Home»Robotics»Gartner predicts fewer than 20 firms will deploy humanoids at scale by 2028
    Robotics

    Gartner predicts fewer than 20 firms will deploy humanoids at scale by 2028

    Arjun PatelBy Arjun PatelJanuary 29, 2026No Comments4 Mins Read
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    Gartner predicts fewer than 20 firms will deploy humanoids at scale by 2028
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    From left to proper: Unitree’s G1, Boston Dynamics’ Atlas, Determine AI’s Determine 02, Apptronik’s Apollo, and Tesla’s Optimus robotic. | Supply: Unitree, Boston Dynamics, Determine, Apptronik, and Tesla

    In recent times, humanoid robots have dominated headlines, and the businesses growing them have raised a whole bunch of thousands and thousands of {dollars} to get them working in the actual world. Regardless of these efforts, precise humanoid deployments are few and much between, famous Gartner Inc.

    The market analysis agency doesn’t anticipate this to alter anytime quickly. It mentioned that by way of 2028, fewer than 100 firms will progress with humanoid proofs of idea past experimentation, despite the fact that near 200 exist right this moment.

    Gartner additionally predicted that fewer than 20 firms might be going dwell in manufacturing for provide chain and manufacturing use instances. Most deployments of humanoid robots throughout this time will stay restricted to tightly managed environments, fairly than in dynamic and high-throughput operations, it mentioned.

    “The promise of humanoid robots is compelling, however the actuality is that the expertise stays immature and much from assembly expectations for versatility and cost-effectiveness,” mentioned Abdil Tunca, senior principal analyst in Gartner’s Provide Chain observe. “CSCOs [chief supply chain officers] should rigorously consider readiness and keep away from overcommitting assets to options that can’t but ship on their potential.”

    Robots designed to imitate the human physique in form, perform, and locomotion are attracting consideration from CSCOs looking for options to workforce challenges and rising labor prices. These humanoids characteristic AI-enabled techniques, superior sensors, and machine studying algorithms meant to dynamically adapt to a number of duties.

    Limitations persist for humanoid progress

    Humanoid robots incorporate heads with sensors and cameras, arms and grippers for manipulation, and legs for locomotion. Whereas this kind issue provides sure benefits, Gartner famous that different designs—comparable to “polyfunctional” robots geared up with wheels or sensors in unconventional placements—could present superior efficiency and adaptableness for provide chain operations.

    Regardless of their potential, Stamford, Conn.-based Gartner mentioned humanoid robots face important obstacles to provide chain, logistics, and manufacturing adoption:

    • Technological limitations: Present fashions lack the dexterity, intelligence, and adaptableness required for advanced, unstructured environments comparable to combined SKU choosing, trailer unloading, or exception dealing with in excessive velocity warehouses.
    • Integration complexity: Compatibility with current techniques and workflows stays a problem, as is security.
    • Excessive prices: Substantial upfront funding and ongoing upkeep bills should be weighed towards unsure returns. With the present expertise, humanoids value a number of instances greater than task-specific robots whereas delivering decrease throughput and uptime.
    • Power constraints: Restricted battery life restricts operational time for high-mobility duties.

    Polyfunctional robots will win the warehouse, says Gartner

    Polyfunctional robots from Diligent Robotics, Kinisi Robotics, Humanoid, and RoboForce. Gartner analyzed the market prospects for such systems.

    Polyfunctional robots, from left: Moxi, Kinisi 01, HMND 01, and Titan. | Supply: Diligent Robotics, Kinisi Robotics, Humanoid, and RoboForce

    Not like humanoid robots, polyfunctional robots are optimized for flexibility with out being constrained by human-like design, Gartner noticed. For instance, a cellular manipulator with wheels and a telescopic arm can transfer packing containers, decide instances, scan stock, and carry out inspections, often with increased uptime and utilizing much less power than a humanoid that’s trying the identical duties.

    Such robots can combine options that improve effectivity and sturdiness, making them higher fitted to dynamic provide chain environments, mentioned the enterprise and intelligence agency.

    “Corporations with a excessive danger urge for food and concentrate on innovation are the most effective candidates for pursuing humanoid robots at current, given the unproven capabilities of those options and associated lack of readability for return on funding,” mentioned Caleb Thomson, senior director analyst in Gartner’s Provide Chain observe. “For almost all of firms that might want to prioritize robots that maximize throughput-per-dollar invested, we anticipate polyfunctional robots to be the superior resolution.”

    To navigate robotics funding selections successfully, Gartner suggested CSCOs to:

    • Pursue pilot packages to validate feasibility earlier than committing to full-scale deployment.
    • Collaborate with rising suppliers to affect product growth and align options with operational wants.
    • Implement steady monitoring to trace efficiency and information iterative enhancements.
    • Foster a tradition of innovation that helps experimentation and calculated risk-taking.
    • Prioritize outcome-driven automation that targets particular bottlenecks, fairly than generalized “headcount discount” methods, which can also be much less dangerous from an funding standpoint. 


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